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    Posted 9/18/2023, 11:55:00 AM

    Nvidia's AI Chip Boom Risks Bust If Software Lags Like Cisco's Dot-Com Crash

    • Nvidia's sales of AI hardware have skyrocketed like Cisco's sales during the dot-com boom, but will AI software innovation happen fast enough to sustain growth?

    • Cisco saw revenue crash after the dot-com bubble burst, but Apple sustained growth after the iPhone launched thanks to quick app innovation.

    • For Nvidia's success to continue, companies buying its AI gear need to develop profitable new services within a couple years.

    • Nvidia's pre-AI chip businesses have seen sudden demand spikes disappear before, so AI hype could fade too.

    • If AI software takes off fast, Nvidia could be like an early Apple. But slower progress could mean a temporary crash like Cisco's before rebounding.

    marketwatch.com
    Relevant topic timeline:
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