Emerging Markets Defy Expectations, Avoid Debt Crisis Despite Global Headwinds
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Emerging markets have not experienced a debt crisis despite global economic challenges. This has surprised analysts.
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Mitigating factors include loose fiscal policy in the US and China, accumulation of foreign reserves by emerging markets, and emerging markets extending debt maturities when rates were low.
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Central bank independence in emerging markets has enabled preemptive policy rate hikes ahead of advanced economies.
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Emerging markets have focused on prudent IMF-recommended policies, not "Buenos Aires consensus" rejected by IMF.
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It's uncertain if resilience will persist amid high global rates, but emerging markets' performance has been remarkable so far.
