Bitcoin's correlations with various assets can provide insight into its price movements, with crypto-specific stocks like MSTR, COIN, and RIOT showing strong correlation due to their Bitcoin holdings, and silver demonstrating a higher correlation than gold as a commodity mirroring Bitcoin's price moves. However, correlations are not set in stone and can change rapidly, so these relationships may not always predict future price moves accurately.
The cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable downturn, with the total market capitalization falling by 10% and triggering significant liquidations on futures contracts, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, delays in approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), financial difficulties within the Digital Currency Group (DCG), regulatory tightening, and a strengthening US dollar.
Bitcoin and Ether both rose over 3% as the crypto market recovered from its losses last week, while alternative cryptocurrencies also saw gains; however, experts remain divided on the future of prices, with some predicting continued downtrend and others expecting a rebound.
Bitcoin remains on track for a massive bull cycle despite recent price decline, as indicated by broader indicators of its price patterns and the use of logarithmic growth curves. The 200-week moving average is seen as less significant as a key price support level for Bitcoin, and the analyst is also looking for an entry point for Ethereum.
In August, the USD strengthened against major currencies, with the dollar index up 2.28%, EURUSD down 1.83%, USDJPY up 2.83%, GBPUSD down 1.96%, USDCAD up 3.25%, and AUDUSD down 4.64%. Meanwhile, major global stock indices experienced declines, led by Hong Kong's Hang Seng index and China's Shanghai composite index.
Circle's USD Coin (USDC) has experienced a significant drop in market cap due to factors such as the depegging event earlier this year, rising interest rates, and differences in issuance models compared to Tether's USDT stablecoin, which recently reached a new high in market cap at $83 billion.
A surge in global interest in acquiring Bitcoin has been observed, with Nigeria leading the way, as investors anticipate a potential rally driven by upcoming events in the crypto sphere and the approval possibility of the inaugural spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by the SEC. Bitcoin's evolving role as a possible store of value is reflected in low exchange-held supplies, while technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment but a potential reach of $26,500 and the $30,000 milestone.
Ethereum's price has surpassed Bitcoin's in the second half of 2023, as investor sentiment towards Ethereum has improved and Bitcoin dominance has declined, indicating a shift towards altcoins; Ethereum's oversold status and resilient consolidation above $1,500 suggest a potential bullish reversal in the coming days, but a drop below $1,500 is possible if bears gain control.
Bitcoin (BTC) price remains stagnant and could potentially slide lower, while Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) prices are also experiencing a lack of activity, which may have negative implications as markets tend to be impatient.
Bitcoin's velocity has decreased to a 3-year low, potentially suggesting that whales are holding onto their positions rather than transferring ownership to new investors. Meanwhile, select altcoins like Toncoin, Monero, Mantle, and Quant are showing signs of strength and could present short-term trading opportunities depending on Bitcoin's next move.
Bitcoin and Ether remain stable as cryptocurrency investor sentiment remains cautious, although JPMorgan analysts report a slowdown in downward price momentum, and the Forkast 500 NFT Index gains after a surge in sales of Donald Trump's signature NFT collection following his arrest.
The supply of Bitcoin on crypto exchanges is currently at its lowest level in over half a decade, with only 5.8% of the overall supply sitting on exchange platforms, while Bitcoin is also leading in terms of address activity; meanwhile, the 10 largest addresses associated with Ethereum are holding over 35% of ETH's overall supply, likely due to smaller investors selling off their holdings during the recent market dip.
Former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal believes that Bitcoin may be on the verge of a massive rally, based on the historical volatility of the cryptocurrency dropping below 20, a level that has preceded significant price increases in the past. Pal also notes that Bitcoin's Bollinger Bands, a volatility indicator, are the tightest they have ever been, further indicating the potential for a strong upward movement. Ethereum is also highlighted as trading within a bullish pattern despite recent market corrections.
Long-term holders of Bitcoin are continuing to accumulate the cryptocurrency despite recent market volatility, indicating a bullish outlook for the future, according to analysts from Bitfinex. However, newer long-term holders who acquired their positions during the bear market are showing more unease and have exited their positions during price drops.
Bitcoin's price dropped below $26,000 as the approval of a Bitcoin ETF was further delayed by the SEC, reversing the bullish gains from the Grayscale court decision earlier in the week. The crypto market also experienced a decline, with Ethereum's price going down by 3.5% and the overall market cap losing $11.2 billion. However, Maker and Toncoin managed to resist the bearish trend with positive gains. The global macroeconomic landscape also added to the uncertainty, as key economic data raised doubts about a potential interest rate hike.
The largest stablecoin, USDT, has been depegging throughout August, leading to concerns about its stability and trustworthiness, with factors such as the redemption fee and minimum requirements being identified as potential contributors to the issue.
Bitcoin's volatility has increased as the market reacts to news regarding the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's delay on Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications, with Bloomberg analysts remaining optimistic about the possibility of Bitcoin ETFs being approved in 2023.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experience a decline as the Securities and Exchange Commission slows down the decision process for crypto exchange-traded funds.
Most of the top cryptocurrencies remain stable, with minimal gains or losses over the past week, except for TON, which increased by 22%, and Bitcoin Cash, which rose by 8.6%, driven by positive developments in the TON ecosystem and the Grayscale/SEC news.
Despite the current market conditions, a crypto strategist believes that Bitcoin (BTC) could experience a significant upward movement, potentially forming a bullish higher-low setup after a possible drop to around $23,600.
Bitcoin is trading near the $26,000 level and uncertainty about its next move suggests a limited downside in the near term, with hopes for approval of a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund by the SEC potentially providing support.
Gold and silver prices are lower due to a strong U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, while trader and investor risk appetite is downbeat with downbeat economic data from China and Asian stock markets mostly lower.
Ether's price has been supported by the Federal Reserve's injection of $300 billion, but doubts are growing about its ability to sustain this level due to bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market and declining metrics on the Ethereum network, including a decrease in the number of ETH investors and a decline in activity on decentralized applications. Competitors such as Solana are also benefiting from stablecoin volumes, and there is an increased likelihood of Ether's price dropping below the $1,600 support level.
Stablecoin issuer Tether has become one of the top buyers of US Treasury bills, with an exposure of $72.5 billion, ranking above several countries, according to Tether's CTO Paolo Ardoino. This highlights the relevance of USDT in emerging markets as a protection against inflation.
Bitcoin (BTC) has remained stagnant below $26,000, with investors waiting for further developments in the cryptocurrency market and the wider economy, while Ether (ETH) is expected to outperform BTC in September and October due to the potential approval of the first ether ETF in mid-October. Additionally, SOMA Finance plans to sell tokens that represent a financial interest, addressing the criticism that crypto tokens lack equity or debt claims. Binance continues to dominate the crypto market as the leading exchange.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are experiencing low volatility, which typically leads to further declines, with support expected at a certain level.
Despite the recent downturn in the crypto market, a key Bitcoin metric shows that 95% of the existing supply of Bitcoin has not moved in the past 30 days, indicating strong holding behavior and potential for a price rally with a buy-side catalyst.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains near a key long-term trendline as the U.S. dollar strengthens, with market participants predicting further downside for BTC and altcoins.
Despite Visa's announcement and warnings from Binance's CEO, major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are struggling in a bearish trend while a top Federal Reserve official expresses deep concern over the $120 billion stablecoin market.
The recent decline in the price of Bitcoin has raised concerns of a larger market downtrend, with Ethereum and Ripple also at risk of falling if Bitcoin weakens further.
Bitcoin's hash rate is near a record high, addresses holding 0.1 BTC are at an all-time high, and the amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges is declining, indicating bullish fundamentals for the cryptocurrency.
Cryptocurrency prices remained stable as inflation in the U.S. surpassed economists' expectations, with Bitcoin trading at around $26,100 and Ethereum experiencing a slight dip of 0.5%. The Federal Reserve will consider this report, among other factors, for its upcoming interest rate announcement on September 20. While inflation has decreased since June, it still exceeds the Fed's target of 2% annually. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy costs, decreased to 4.3% in August compared to July's 4.7%.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) experienced stable prices over the week, while Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Toncoin (TON) saw notable price increases, and Stellar (XLM) suffered a decrease; Sony is developing a blockchain network in collaboration with Startale Labs, PayPal launched crypto to USD off-ramps, and Deutsche Bank partnered with Taurus for custody and tokenization services.
The US dollar remains stable in Asian trades as the yen and sterling experience slight fluctuations due to upcoming central bank meetings, including the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish pause, and the Bank of England's possible interest rate increase.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have seen a rise in price as traders anticipate a potential macroeconomic catalyst that could lead to a significant movement in the market.
Bitcoin, ethereum, BNB, and XRP have experienced a strong price rally in 2023, but a small cryptocurrency has surpassed them, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions could impact the bitcoin price.
Summary: The USD is trading down, Crude is trading up, the 30 Year T-Bond is trading lower, the S&P 500 emini ES contract is higher, and Gold is trading higher, indicating a lack of correlation in the market.
Bitcoin is expected to mimic its previous rally and potentially see significant gains in the near future, according to crypto strategist Credible Crypto, who points to a bullish engulfing candle pattern and the defense of a key support level as positive signs for BTC's upward momentum.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies experienced a decline in prices due to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, signaling an anticipated return to range-bound trading.
Ether (ETH) has experienced a modest increase in price in 2023, but it is still trading significantly below its peak in November 2021, raising questions among investors about the reasons behind the decline and potential catalysts for a reversal. The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the SEC, as well as regulatory uncertainties surrounding the Ethereum ICO, remain sources of concern. However, positive surprises such as the request for a spot Ether ETF and Ethereum's position to benefit from Bitcoin-related catalysts give hope to investors.
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown remarkable stability above the $26,000 level despite sell-offs in equity markets and a surging US dollar, potentially signaling a bullish cycle as long-term investors continue to accumulate.
