The cryptocurrency market has experienced a notable downturn, with the total market capitalization falling by 10% and triggering significant liquidations on futures contracts, attributed to factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, delays in approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), financial difficulties within the Digital Currency Group (DCG), regulatory tightening, and a strengthening US dollar.
Gold and silver prices rise as the weaker U.S. dollar index and dip in U.S. Treasury yields attract futures traders and bargain hunters, while anxieties build over upcoming speeches from the Fed and ECB on future monetary policy direction and the potential shift in the Fed's inflation goal.
European markets remain cautious as traders await signals from Federal Reserve officials on monetary policy, while the German economy stagnated in the second quarter with zero growth.
The US Dollar performed well against major currencies, with the British Pound, Euro, and Canadian Dollar underperforming, while the Chinese Yuan and Australian Dollar fared better; the Federal Reserve's indication of a higher terminal rate and potential further borrowing cost increases contributed to the market sentiment, leading to lower US equity markets; upcoming economic data includes consumer confidence, inflation gauges from key European countries, and manufacturing PMI gauges from China.
The strong U.S. economic growth and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could pose global risks, potentially leading to a significant tightening of global financial conditions and affecting emerging markets and the rest of the world.
The US Dollar is facing profit-taking and risk as traders digest the Jackson Hole speech and push back expectations for rate cuts, while upcoming macroeconomic data points will be closely watched for any signs of economic deterioration.
The US dollar is defying expectations and reaching its highest level in six months, proving that talk of de-dollarization has been over-hyped.
Concerns arise that the struggling Chinese economy and volatility in the stock market may negatively impact Bitcoin's price and hinder its role as an alternative store of value in the face of a strengthening U.S. dollar.
The US Dollar experienced a significant decline due to weak economic data and increased risk appetite, while the Euro and British Pound strengthened. The Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar also performed well, and gold and cryptocurrencies rallied.
The US dollar experienced a major technical reversal due to a weaker JOLTs report, leading to a drop in US interest rates, while market positioning played a role in the price action; the focus now shifts to personal consumption figures and US jobs data, with the euro and sterling firm but most other G10 currencies softer, and emerging market currencies mixed. In Asia, most large bourses advanced, but Europe's Stoxx 600 fell after rallying in previous sessions, while US index futures traded softer; European bonds are selling up, gold is consolidating, and oil prices are firm. Australia's CPI slowed more than expected, China is expected to release the August PMI, and Japan reports July retail sales. The US dollar has seen no follow-through selling against the yen, yuan, or Australian dollar, while the euro and sterling staged impressive price action. The JOLTS report saw the dollar and US rates reverse lower, and today the US reports advanced merchandise trade figures for July, with the Canadian dollar as the worst performing G10 currency yesterday.
The dollar is not likely to lose its status as the global reserve currency despite the expansion of the BRICS group of nations and their aim to find an alternative, as technology and not commodity-based currencies are expected to be the driving force in the future.
The U.S. is currently experiencing a prolonged high inflation cycle that is causing significant damage to the purchasing power of the currency, and the recent lower inflation rate is misleading as it ignores the accumulated harm; in order to combat this cycle, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates higher than the inflation rate and reverse its bond purchases.
The US dollar's influence in the oil markets is diminishing as more oil is being transacted in non-dollar currencies, according to JPMorgan.
The US dollar is surging against other major currencies due to concerns over the global economy and rising oil prices.
JP Morgan predicts that the U.S. dollar is at risk of losing its global reserve status as BRICS countries increase their use of local currencies for trade settlement, although the chances of this happening in the near future are slim.
The biggest risk of de-dollarization is that the US could lose a key tool it's used to fight past economic crises, according to JPMorgan.
Europe's struggle with inflation and economic growth contrasts with the United States, as the European Central Bank's aggressive tightening risks pushing the euro zone into a downturn, with the manufacturing and services sectors already showing signs of contraction.
Rising energy prices, driven by factors such as extended production cuts and deteriorating ties between the US and Saudi Arabia, will have negative consequences for Europe, potentially impacting support for Ukraine and slowing down efforts to reduce carbon emissions.
The rising U.S. dollar is causing concern among foreign officials and investors, but it remains uncertain if anything can be done to stop its rise or if it will negatively impact U.S. equities.
European markets are set to open lower as investors await data releases and focus on economic data and interest rates, while global market sentiment has worsened; Asian markets were mostly lower and US stock futures were unchanged amid concerns over the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy; the British pound is lower after Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey's comments on nearing peak rates; Goldman Sachs reveals its preferred sector in China and names two conviction list stocks; Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins says the central bank can proceed cautiously on future rate hikes; Morgan Stanley names a European bank as a top pick with 35% upside.
The dollar's strength is expected to be difficult to overcome for most major currencies by year-end, according to a Reuters poll of forex strategists, with risks to the greenback outlook skewed to the upside.
The European Central Bank faces a difficult decision on whether or not to hike rates as the economy slows, while the US releases inflation numbers and rising oil prices create concerns about price pressures.
Bank of America warns that the US economy still faces the risk of a "hard landing" due to rising oil prices, a strong dollar, and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, contrasting with the optimistic outlook of other Wall Street banks.
The United States Federal Reserve's financial woes and potential implications for cryptocurrency are discussed on the latest episode of "Macro Markets," highlighting challenges posed by inflation and the consequences of loose monetary policies during the pandemic.
The value of the U.S. dollar has been strengthening against the Euro and the British Pound due to the continuing strength of the U.S. economy and the weakness of the European economies.
The US Dollar performed strongly against major currencies, with the Euro experiencing its 8th consecutive weekly loss and the Chinese Yuan performing poorly, while global market sentiment was negative and stock markets weakened. In the coming week, market focus will be on the US inflation report, UK employment and GDP data, Australian employment data, and the ECB rate decision.
Bitcoin's weak performance and its potential "double top" structure raise concerns of more downside, with predictions of new local lows; however, there are indications that Bitcoin may experience a major shakeout before rebounding to "fair value" and the 200-week EMA near $25,600 may offer some optimism; debate ensues over the possibility of Bitcoin filling the $20,000 CME futures gap; liquidity levels on BTC/USD markets continue to increase, adding to bearish predictions; ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release on September 14 brings potential volatility to the market and may impact crypto market expectations.
The European Commission has revised down its economic forecast, citing high prices for goods and services as a significant factor, leading to reduced growth projections for the European Union and the eurozone. Germany is expected to experience a downturn, while inflation is projected to exceed the European Central Bank's target. Weak consumption, credit provisions, and natural disasters are also contributing to the loss of momentum in the economy. However, the report highlights the strength of the EU labor market with a low unemployment rate.
The US dollar's dominance as the world's reserve currency is at risk due to growing debt in the US, according to economist Barry Eichengreen, highlighting the importance of controlling debt to maintain the dollar's global role.
The crypto market is expected to experience increased volatility due to economic events such as the downward revision of economic growth forecasts for the eurozone and the looming FTX liquidation, as well as the release of crucial inflation data in the US.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have been experiencing a steady decline in prices due to concerns from the Federal Reserve, leading to warnings of a potential price crash, although some analysts remain hopeful for improvement.
Uncertainty in various sectors, including potential strikes, government shutdowns, geopolitical tensions, and the question of future Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, is causing markets to lack conviction, but this week's inflation readings could provide direction for the markets. If inflation comes in below expectations, it may signal that the Fed will not hike rates further, while stronger-than-expected inflation could lead to more rate hikes and market volatility. Additionally, increasing energy prices and the potential strike by the United Auto Workers union add to the uncertainty.
The euro has been continuously decreasing in value against the dollar for the eighth consecutive week, reflecting the economic challenges faced by Europe, including high inflation and the specter of recession, while the United States has better control over inflation and a stronger labor market, leading to a widening gap between the euro and the dollar.
The Federal Reserve is unlikely to panic over the recent surge in consumer prices, driven by a rise in fuel costs, as it considers further interest rate hikes, but if the rate hikes weaken the job market it could have negative consequences for consumers and President Biden ahead of the 2024 election.
The US is facing a significant risk to its energy security as its oil reserves hit a 40-year low, leaving it more reliant on imports and vulnerable to supply disruptions and price volatility in the global oil market, according to markets guru Larry McDonald. The Biden administration has been draining the strategic petroleum reserves since the start of the Ukraine war to cap energy prices, but with oil prices surging, the situation could exacerbate inflationary pressures and prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for longer.
The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates, but traders believe that any immediate risk to the euro is likely to be on the downside, and if there is a hike, it will likely be the last.
European markets were stagnant as investors awaited a decision from the European Central Bank on whether to raise interest rates for the tenth consecutive meeting, while carmaker shares dropped following an investigation into electric vehicle subsidies by the European Commission and concerns over Chinese retaliation. Additionally, the oil market is keeping a close eye on the possibility of crude prices reaching $100 a barrel as Saudi Arabia and Russia plan to extend production cuts until the end of 2023.
The European Central Bank's decision to signal its last rate hike has further weakened the euro, causing hedge funds and speculators to anticipate potential parity with the dollar.
The US Dollar underperformed against major currencies last week, crude oil continued to rally, and gold prices were cautiously higher, while upcoming events like central bank rate decisions and the Bank of England rate hike are expected to impact the market.
European markets are poised for a negative start to the week as investors await central bank decisions, including the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement on interest rates and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting, while Australia's central bank and China's People's Bank are also expected to make important releases. Additionally, Bank of America has named two European chip stocks as its "top picks" going into the end of the year.
The positive momentum surrounding Bitcoin's price is fueled by expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike rates again this year, while market participants remain optimistic despite the strength of the United States Dollar Index.
World markets are cautious ahead of central bank decisions and concerned about inflation signals amidst rising oil prices, as crude oil reaches its highest levels of the year due to supply cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia, while US production also falls.
The Federal Reserve's uncertainty about 2024 is causing concern for the markets.
European markets rise as global investors await the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision; retail stocks lead gains while oil and gas dip slightly, and U.K. inflation falls below expectations in August.
Developing countries, including the BRICS alliance, are looking to end reliance on the US dollar due to increasing debt and the threat of inflation, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value and a rise in prices. Economist Peter Schiff warns of a tragic ending for the US dollar if other countries continue to move away from it.
European markets are poised to open lower due to upcoming interest rate decisions from several central banks, while global markets react to the U.S. Federal Reserve's announcement to hold interest rates steady and raise economic growth expectations.
The stock market faces a major issue as the dollar reaches a crucial level and could potentially break out.
The BRICS bloc, including countries like India, China, and Russia, is slowly reducing its dependency on the US dollar and using their local currencies for trade, which could potentially weaken the US dollar's position as the dominant global currency.
The U.S. economy is facing uncertainty and conflicting estimates, with regional Fed estimates showing significant divergence and risks of economic contraction or slow growth, while factors such as health insurance costs, wage growth, home prices, and rising gas and commodity prices could potentially cause inflation to rebound. Moreover, there are still risks and challenges ahead, making declarations of victory premature, according to Larry Summers.