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    Posted 9/17/2023, 5:12:17 PM

    Ukraine Chips Away at Russian Forces, Seeks Strategic Advantage Before Winter

    • Ukraine's defence intelligence chief says counter-offensive is ongoing, more time before muddy season
    • Russia has no strategic reserve left, deploying under-strength units prematurely
    • Ukraine developing long-range strike capability with drones and missiles
    • Aims are to exhaust Russia's defences, disrupt military and economy
    • No ceasefire or peace without Ukraine's military success on the ground
    economist.com
    Relevant topic timeline:
    9/6/2023
    Ukraine reports frontline success, Russia minister decries Kyiv's failure
    Ukraine's military has reported advances and strong defense along the front lines of its war with Russia, with Moscow acknowledging tension in the southern sector but dismissing Kyiv's campaign as unsuccessful.
    9/6/2023
    Latest news on Russia's war in Ukraine, Antony Blinken in Kyiv for talks
    US Secretary of State Antony Blinken expresses gratitude to US embassy staff in Kyiv during his visit to Ukraine, acknowledging their courage and the challenges they face in the midst of the war; Ukraine's new defense minister, Rustem Umerov, vows to take back all of Ukrainian land from Russian control and bring home all those in captivity; at least 16 people are killed in a Russian missile attack on a market in the Donetsk region of Ukraine; Blinken arrives in Kyiv for his third visit, discussing the progress of Ukraine's counteroffensive; the UK plans to classify the Russian mercenary group Wagner as a terrorist organization; parts of a Russian drone fall on Romanian territory after targeting a Ukrainian port on the Danube River; the Kremlin accuses the US of intending to keep the war in Ukraine going "until the last Ukrainian"; Rustem Umerov becomes Ukraine's new defense minister; Ukrainian officials believe the second line of Russian defenses in the south may be weaker than the first; Blinken praises the "good progress" of Ukraine's counteroffensive during his visit to Kyiv.
    9/6/2023
    Russia "hiding" navy behind Crimea amid intensifying attacks: Kyiv
    Ukraine's naval drone offensive in the Black Sea is forcing Russia to hide its ships behind Crimea or in heavily protected ports, as they try to avoid collisions with Ukrainian naval drones and protect the Kerch Strait Bridge, according to a spokesperson for the Ukrainian Navy.
    9/7/2023
    Ukraine is gaining ground in its counter offensive, NATO chief says
    Ukraine is slowly reclaiming territory seized by Russia in a counter offensive, according to NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg, despite facing challenges such as Russian fortifications and minefields.
    9/8/2023
    Ukraine Gains Ground South of Bakhmut; Russia Builds Up Forces Near Lyman; Missile Strikes Hit 3 Cities; Musk Refuses Starlink for Crimea; Romania Builds Shelters Near Danube
    Ukrainian forces have gained control of more than half of the village of Klishchiivka, south of Bakhmut, destroying almost all Russian equipment in the sector, according to Deputy Commander of the 3rd Assault Brigade Maksym Zhorin; however, air strikes and electronic warfare systems remain a challenge for Ukrainian troops.
    9/9/2023
    Ukraine Gains Ground, Zelenskyy Renews Calls for Arms as Russia Bombs Cities and Plans 'Sham' Votes
    Ukrainian Armed Forces advance against Russian positions near Robotyne and maintain pressure on Russian positions south of Bakhmut while Russia faces limitations due to redeployments and slow Western aid, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who also denounces Russian bombing of Ukrainian cities and Moscow-organized local elections in Ukraine.
    9/10/2023
    Ukraine Aims to Retake Crimea, Russia's Strategic Stronghold in the Black Sea
    Russian President Vladimir Putin and his forces in occupied southern Ukraine are determined to retain control of Crimea, as it is key to Russia's regional power projection and allows them to dominate the Black Sea region, project force into the Mediterranean, and supply their units in neighboring oblasts.
    9/11/2023
    EU, UN Denounce Russia's Actions in Ukraine; Fighting Continues in the East
    The European Union condemns the "illegitimate" elections held in Russian-annexed parts of Ukraine, while a UN official says that Russia's aggression in Ukraine is synonymous with torture and inhuman cruelty; meanwhile, the Kremlin spokesperson claims that no one will be able to compete with Putin if he runs for president in 2024, and the UN Human Rights Commissioner states that Russia's withdrawal from a grain deal is fueling global food insecurity. Ukrainian forces regain control of drilling platforms near the Crimean coast and Putin arrives in Vladivostok for the Eastern Economic Forum, while South Korean media reports that Kim Jong Un is en route to Russia, and Ukraine reports advances in Bakhmut and Donetsk city. Finally, Brazil's President Lula says it's up to the judiciary whether to arrest Putin if he visits the country.
    9/11/2023
    Ukraine Retakes Strategic Black Sea Gas Platforms from Russian Forces
    Ukrainian forces have regained control of gas and oil offshore drilling platforms near Crimea, previously occupied by Russia, in a strategic operation that deprives Russia of military capabilities and brings Ukraine closer to regaining Crimea.
    9/11/2023
    Biden Weighs Sending Long-Range Missiles to Ukraine Ahead of UN Meeting
    The Biden administration is considering whether to send long-range missiles to Ukraine, but a final decision has not yet been made, and it is unlikely to happen before the U.N. General Assembly; if approved, the missiles would provide Ukraine with the ability to strike deep into Russian territory.
    9/11/2023
    Ukraine Races Against Winter Weather in Counteroffensive as U.S. Urges Faster Gains
    America's top military commander warns that Ukraine has limited time to pursue a stagnating military offensive, as tensions with Western allies rise, potentially putting Ukraine and the US at odds.
    9/12/2023
    Russian Border Guards Lack Equipment and Live in Fear of Ukrainian Attacks
    Russian border guards along the Ukraine border are reportedly underequipped and anxious about the possibility of Ukrainian cross-border raids, according to a report by the Institute for the Study of War.
    9/12/2023
    Putin Predicts Protracted Ukraine War, Dismisses Western Arms and Future U.S. Ties
    Russian President Vladimir Putin indicated that he is preparing for a prolonged war in Ukraine, stating that Kyiv could potentially use any ceasefire to rearm and that the US will continue to view Russia as an enemy regardless of the outcome of the 2024 US election.
    9/14/2023
    Ukraine Strikes Russian Forces in Crimea as North Korea Courts Russia Support Amid War Fallout
    Ukraine has shelled Russia's Belgorod region, launched airstrikes on occupied Crimea, and destroyed Russian air defense systems in Crimea, resulting in casualties and damage; meanwhile, Russian President Putin has accepted an invitation to visit North Korea and is expecting a visit from Belarusian President Lukashenko.
    9/14/2023
    Ukraine Resolute in Fighting Russia Despite Limited Gains; U.S. Debates Increasing Aid While Seeking Path to Negotiations
    Ukraine's military offensive against Russian forces in the south and east has made limited progress, prompting discussions about whether the US and other Western countries should provide more powerful weapons or seek a negotiated settlement.
    9/16/2023
    UK: Russia Stockpiling Missiles for Winter Strikes on Ukraine Energy Grid
    Russia is predicted to amass a significant stockpile of air-launched cruise missiles to target Ukraine's critical infrastructure during the upcoming winter, according to the UK Defense Ministry.
    9/16/2023
    Ukraine Makes Gains Near Bakhmut and Melitopol, Inflicts Losses on Russian Forces
    The Ukrainian Armed Forces have experienced gains in certain areas while conducting offensive operations against Russian forces, inflicting significant losses on the enemy and forcing them to withdraw from their positions.
    9/17/2023
    Russia Claims Ukraine Launched Drone Attacks Across Crimea and Mainland, Damaging Oil Depot
    Russia claims to have foiled a coordinated Ukrainian attack on Crimea, with drones also targeting Moscow and causing disruptions to air traffic, while a fire at an oil depot in southwest Russia was reportedly caused by a Ukrainian drone.
    9/17/2023
    Ukraine Seeks Justice Against Russia at World Court Over Invasion Claims
    Russia and Ukraine will face off in the International Court of Justice where Russia claims its invasion of Ukraine was to prevent genocide, while Ukraine argues Russia is abusing international law; the case is focused on legal arguments about jurisdiction and has potential future implications for reparations claims.
    9/17/2023
    Russia Bolsters Defenses in Zaporizhzhia as Ukraine Gains Ground in Southeast Counteroffensive
    Russian forces have fortified their defenses in the town of Tokmak, located in southeastern Ukraine, amid growing concerns about Ukrainian advances in the region, according to the UK Defense Ministry.
    9/18/2023
    Zelenskyy: Ukraine Must Press On in Counteroffensive Despite Slow Gains
    Ukrainian President Zelenskyy emphasized the need for Ukrainian defenders to continue moving forward in the slow counteroffensive against Russia, stating that even short distances must be gained to prevent giving Putin a break and liberate territory.
    9/18/2023
    Ukraine Intelligence Chief: Russia's Economy and Arms Supplies Will Collapse by 2026, But Ukraine Risks Resources Shortages Too
    The Chief of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine believes that if the war of aggression against Ukraine continues, the Russian economy will only hold out until 2025 and their arms supply will dry up in 2026 or earlier.
    9/18/2023
    Russia Deploys Elite Paratroopers as Infantry to Reinforce Overstretched Forces in Ukraine
    Russia has reinforced its infantry troops on the frontline in the Zaporizhzhia region with units from its VDV Airborne Forces, signaling a perceived step down for the elite paratrooper division and highlighting setbacks in Russia's ground forces as they struggle against Ukraine's forces.
    9/19/2023
    Zelensky Accuses Russia of Genocide, Urges Global Action as Ukraine Strikes Back
    Ukraine's special services are likely responsible for drone strikes on Wagner-backed forces in Sudan, raising concerns about the escalation of Russia-Ukraine conflict beyond the frontlines; Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell defends Ukraine's request for more aid ahead of Ukrainian President Zelensky's visit to the US Capitol; President Zelensky warns the UN General Assembly that Russia's invasion of Ukraine is not only about Ukraine but also about weaponizing food and energy and turning other countries' power plants into "dirty bombs"; Zelensky calls for global unity to defeat Russia's aggression and accuses Russia of kidnapping Ukrainian children and weaponizing the food supply; Russian President Putin is seeking support from North Korea and Iran while Ukraine continues to gain support from numerous countries.
    9/21/2023
    Russia Launches Major Missile Strike Across Ukraine, Targeting Energy Sites and Disrupting Power
    Russia conducted a major missile attack on Ukraine, targeting energy facilities and causing power cuts in several regions, marking the beginning of a new air campaign against the Ukrainian power grid.
    9/21/2023
    Ukrainian Forces Strike Russian Military HQ in Melitopol, Wounding Russian Commanders
    The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) and the Armed Forces of Ukraine have attacked a secret Russian headquarters in Melitopol, resulting in injuries and deaths among Russian officers.
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